J Madison
W-L: (12- 2) PR = 84.1597Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 830 H Weber State 45-10 905 A Louisville ACC ( 8- 6, 81.6) 14-28 920 A Liberty CUSA ( 4- 8, 68.4) 31-13 927 H Georgia So SUN ( 8- 6, 71.2) 35-10 1004 A Georgia St SUN ( 1-11, 59.4) 14- 7 1011 H Louisville ACC ( 8- 6, 81.6) 24-14 1018 H Old Dominion SUN (10- 3, 81.6) 63-27 1028 A Texas State SUN ( 5- 8, 71.5) 52-20 1108 A Marshall SUN ( 5- 7, 71.8) 35-23 1115 H App St SUN ( 5- 8, 66.4) 58-10 1122 H Wash St P12 ( 7- 6, 82.0) 24-20 1129 A Coastal Car SUN ( 6- 8, 71.4) 59-10 1205 H Troy SUN ( 8- 6, 71.6) 31-14 1220 N Oregon B10 (13- 2, 95.6) 34-51
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
905 A Louisville 14-28 -14 -3 --- -11.34
920 A Liberty 31-13 18 10 + 3.53
927 H Georgia So 35-10 25 18 0.00
1004 A Georgia St 14- 7 7 20 --- -7.00
1011 H Louisville 24-14 10 8 + 2.14
1018 H Old Dominion 63-27 36 8 +++ 6.15
1028 A Texas State 52-20 32 7 +++ 6.56
1108 A Marshall 35-23 12 7 ++ 4.89
1115 H App St 58-10 48 23 0.00
1122 H Wash St 24-20 4 7 - -3.40
1129 A Coastal Car 59-10 49 7 +++ 6.50
1205 H Troy 31-14 17 18 0.00
1220 N Oregon 34-51 -17 -11 - -2.54
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 905 A Louisville 14-28 -14 -3 --- -11.34 1004 A Georgia St 14- 7 7 20 --- -7.00 1122 H Wash St 24-20 4 7 - -3.40 1220 N Oregon 34-51 -17 -11 - -2.54 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1018 H Old Dominion 63-27 36 8 +++ 6.15 1028 A Texas State 52-20 32 7 +++ 6.56 1129 A Coastal Car 59-10 49 7 +++ 6.50 1108 A Marshall 35-23 12 7 ++ 4.89 920 A Liberty 31-13 18 10 + 3.53 1011 H Louisville 24-14 10 8 + 2.14 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 12.75
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Louisville ( 8- 6, 81.6) 14-28 -18.34 32.88 5.26 0.98 -6.41
3 A Liberty ( 4- 8, 68.4) 31-13 -31.47 19.75 5.26 0.98 49.06
3 H Georgia So ( 8- 6, 71.2) 35-10 -28.70 22.52 -5.26 0.98 33.86
3 A Georgia St ( 1-11, 59.4) 14- 7 -40.50 10.71 5.26 0.98 31.33
3 H Louisville ( 8- 6, 81.6) 24-14 -18.34 32.88 -5.26 0.98 54.18
3 H Old Dominion (10- 3, 81.6) 63-27 -18.33 32.89 -5.26 0.98 54.20
3 A Texas State ( 5- 8, 71.5) 52-20 -28.44 22.78 5.26 0.98 55.01
3 A Marshall ( 5- 7, 71.8) 35-23 -28.11 23.11 5.26 0.98 55.66
3 H App St ( 5- 8, 66.4) 58-10 -33.48 17.74 -5.26 0.98 24.48
3 H Wash St ( 7- 6, 82.0) 24-20 -17.88 33.34 -5.26 0.98 55.07
3 A Coastal Car ( 6- 8, 71.4) 59-10 -28.49 22.72 5.26 0.98 54.89
3 H Troy ( 8- 6, 71.6) 31-14 -28.31 22.91 -5.26 0.98 34.63
3 N Oregon (13- 2, 95.6) 34-51 -4.28 46.94 -0.00 0.98 -2.10
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493.86
|
winning pts = 502.3777 losing points = -8.5144
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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